FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.54 – 271.64

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 42.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.6 ±11.4

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 51.6Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 222.13Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 43.81Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±11.7

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 42.75Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 16.12Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 212.77Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3658, 6002, 9743

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3658, 6002, 9743

Auto

74.8 24%

Teleop

164.4 53%

Endgame

70.4 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5150, 11423, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5150, 11423, 2767

Auto

52.2 19%

Teleop

142.1 53%

Endgame

73.5 27%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score317.5pts

Blue projected score271.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.9
Score range: 243–347
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 675 vs event baseline 158.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.6Season APEX404.4

74.8Auto52.2

164.4Teleop142.1

70.4Endgame73.5

73Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	61
teleop	190	143
endgame	95	98
foul	0	5
total	368	307

Result

Final score

368 – 307

Prediction correct · off by 42.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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