FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.6 – 23.76

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.3 ±12.8

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -2.89Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX -1.56Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 108.05Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213 ±12.8

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 7.67Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 16.61Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -0.52Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9239, 11496, 5152

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9239, 11496, 5152

Auto

15.9 16%

Teleop

75.5 76%

Endgame

7.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4810, 9758, 4568

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4810, 9758, 4568

Auto

13.6 75%

Teleop

0.8 4%

Endgame

3.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.6pts

Blue projected score23.8pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.8
Score range: -5–133
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 161.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.3Season APEX213

15.9Auto13.6

75.5Teleop0.8

7.7Endgame3.7

75Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	17
teleop	79	25
endgame	43	6
foul	0	0
total	175	48

Result

Final score

175 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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