FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

205.78 – 210.35

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.8 ±12.2

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 39.29Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 143.48Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 23.01Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.8 ±11

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 57.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 79.09Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 73.53Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9672, 5675, 10651

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9672, 5675, 10651

Auto

28.1 14%

Teleop

119.1 60%

Endgame

51.8 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4855, 7211, 9215

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4855, 7211, 9215

Auto

34.2 17%

Teleop

109.7 53%

Endgame

61.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score205.8pts

Blue projected score210.4pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.6
Score range: 177–239
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 426 vs event baseline 159.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.8Season APEX355.8

28.1Auto34.2

119.1Teleop109.7

51.8Endgame61.3

24Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	41
teleop	105	156
endgame	66	32
foul	0	0
total	197	229

Result

Final score

197 – 229

Prediction correct · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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