FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

309.73 – 37.91

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377 ±10.5

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 208.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 40.44Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 60.9Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±12.7

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 26.36Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 5.17Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 6.38Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 5248, 8126

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 5248, 8126

Auto

51.3 17%

Teleop

172.0 58%

Endgame

74.0 25%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9776, 7865, 5538

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.9 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9776, 7865, 5538

Auto

21.4 49%

Teleop

7.0 16%

Endgame

15.5 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score309.7pts

Blue projected score37.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 271.8
Score range: 9–339
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 160.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377Season APEX169.6

51.3Auto21.4

172Teleop7

74Endgame15.5

74Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	21
teleop	192	31
endgame	71	13
foul	0	0
total	319	65

Result

Final score

319 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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