FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.39 – 97.09

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.4 ±12.4

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 98.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 12.91Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 31.77Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.9 ±13.9

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 60.07Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 26.45Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 10.57Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5462, 11423, 9703

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 11423, 9703

Auto

34.6 25%

Teleop

70.5 52%

Endgame

31.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6588, 5227, 4453

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6588, 5227, 4453

Auto

32.1 35%

Teleop

40.2 44%

Endgame

18.9 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.4pts

Blue projected score97.1pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.3
Score range: 68–172
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 161.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.4Season APEX204.9

34.6Auto32.1

70.5Teleop40.2

31.7Endgame18.9

28Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	24
teleop	80	13
endgame	46	38
foul	5	0
total	166	75

Result

Final score

166 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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