FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.24 – 61.23

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 76 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±13.9

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 82.2Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 27.46Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9239Panthers robotics

Season APEX 74.9Event APEX -0.42Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.4 ±12.2

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 16.68Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 36.74Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 7.81Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11431, 9758, 9239

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11431, 9758, 9239

Auto

12.1 11%

Teleop

55.4 50%

Endgame

42.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9672, 4855, 10654

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9672, 4855, 10654

Auto

21.9 39%

Teleop

13.1 23%

Endgame

21.3 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score109.2pts

Blue projected score61.2pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48
Score range: 32–138
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 162.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.9Season APEX196.4

12.1Auto21.9

55.4Teleop13.1

42.4Endgame21.3

42Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	44
teleop	34	96
endgame	22	43
foul	0	0
total	79	183

Result

Final score

79 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 76 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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