FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.81 – 96.77

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 52.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.5 ±11.7

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX -18.83Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 64.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 48.97Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.5 ±12.7

3658Robo - Beavers

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 67.57Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 5.29Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 23.91Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11496, 9215, 1502

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11496, 9215, 1502

Auto

8.6 10%

Teleop

60.4 69%

Endgame

18.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3658, 11407, 10651

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3658, 11407, 10651

Auto

18.3 20%

Teleop

54.8 61%

Endgame

16.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.8pts

Blue projected score96.8pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2
Score range: 66–126
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 163.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.5Season APEX189.5

8.6Auto18.3

60.4Teleop54.8

18.5Endgame16.5

37Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	32
teleop	110	21
endgame	19	14
foul	10	5
total	175	72

Result

Final score

175 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 52.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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