FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.96 – 245.24

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

117 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±13.3

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 79.47Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 20.79Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX -19.3Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.7 ±11.7

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 22.32Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 208.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 14.64Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7211, 11511, 3234

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7211, 11511, 3234

Auto

17.2 19%

Teleop

40.8 45%

Endgame

32.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9776, 2767, 9205

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9776, 2767, 9205

Auto

26.0 11%

Teleop

148.0 60%

Endgame

72.3 29%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81pts

Blue projected score245.2pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164.3
Score range: 52–274
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 162.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.7Season APEX421.7

17.2Auto26

40.8Teleop148

32.8Endgame72.3

78Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	77
teleop	60	123
endgame	47	89
foul	0	0
total	117	289

Result

Final score

117 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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