FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.65 – 140.3

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.4 ±10.7

7211Hollywood

Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 69.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10654Tiger Bytes

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 30.29Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 203.04Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.1 ±11.7

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 91.11Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 10.87Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 38.32Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7211, 10654, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7211, 10654, 6002

Auto

63.8 21%

Teleop

157.4 52%

Endgame

79.2 26%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8126, 11407, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8126, 11407, 5577

Auto

28.7 21%

Teleop

68.0 49%

Endgame

41.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score302.7pts

Blue projected score140.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.3
Score range: 107–336
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.4Season APEX323.1

63.8Auto28.7

157.4Teleop68

79.2Endgame41.8

3Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	7
teleop	166	58
endgame	108	64
foul	0	0
total	355	129

Result

Final score

355 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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