FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.08 – 333.84

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

200 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 99.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295 ±11.7

4810I AM Robot

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX -19.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 93.78Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 19.81Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.3 ±10.8

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 63.25Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 246.99Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 23.6Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4810, 5152, 9703

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4810, 5152, 9703

Auto

9.0 9%

Teleop

43.9 45%

Endgame

44.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5577, 6002, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5577, 6002, 7865

Auto

73.6 22%

Teleop

173.2 52%

Endgame

88.1 26%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.1pts

Blue projected score333.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -239.8
Score range: 65–363
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 160.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295Season APEX487.3

9Auto73.6

43.9Teleop173.2

44.4Endgame88.1

65Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	70
teleop	71	121
endgame	64	49
foul	20	0
total	200	240

Result

Final score

200 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 99.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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