FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.16 – 65.4

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 51.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.8 ±12.4

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 6.41Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 188.13Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX -1.38Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.1 ±13.9

9743MV TITANS

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 42.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -5.49Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 28.33Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6556, 4237, 4453

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6556, 4237, 4453

Auto

42.2 22%

Teleop

106.2 56%

Endgame

41.0 22%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9743, 4568, 5227

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9743, 4568, 5227

Auto

23.2 42%

Teleop

26.2 47%

Endgame

6.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score193.2pts

Blue projected score65.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.8
Score range: 36–222
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 361 vs event baseline 158.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.8Season APEX203.1

42.2Auto23.2

106.2Teleop26.2

41Endgame6.1

108Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	19
teleop	152	46
endgame	63	26
foul	0	0
total	270	91

Result

Final score

270 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 51.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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