FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.73 – 269.62

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

204 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 79.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.9 ±12.2

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 76.49Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 44.94Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 11.3Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.7 ±11.2

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 9.62Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 62.39Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 197.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11431, 1502, 9776

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11431, 1502, 9776

Auto

29.2 23%

Teleop

55.3 44%

Endgame

41.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9758, 9215, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 9215, 2767

Auto

27.4 10%

Teleop

150.3 56%

Endgame

88.5 33%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.7pts

Blue projected score269.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.9
Score range: 105–298
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 562 vs event baseline 153.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.9Season APEX441.7

29.2Auto27.4

55.3Teleop150.3

41.7Endgame88.5

55Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	73
teleop	96	185
endgame	77	100
foul	5	0
total	204	358

Result

Final score

204 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 79.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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