FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

248.09 – 367.4

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 69.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.9 ±12

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 15.12Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX -19.94Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 252.91Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350.7 ±11

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 85.91Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 160.91Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5152Alotobots

Season APEX 119.8Event APEX 120.58Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9703, 11496, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9703, 11496, 6002

Auto

58.1 23%

Teleop

126.2 50%

Endgame

65.8 26%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5150, 5675, 5152

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5150, 5675, 5152

Auto

42.3 12%

Teleop

227.2 62%

Endgame

95.5 26%

Strengths

· 5675 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score248.1pts

Blue projected score367.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.3
Score range: 220–395
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 154.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.9Season APEX350.7

58.1Auto42.3

126.2Teleop227.2

65.8Endgame95.5

23Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	29
teleop	137	134
endgame	55	71
foul	0	0
total	254	234

Result

Final score

254 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 69.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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