Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
111.05 – 79.76
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
167 – 70
Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 260 ±12.7
Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 62.83Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.9Event APEX 2.84Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.6Event APEX 45.38Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 74Event APEX 83.04Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 15.69Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.6Event APEX -18.97Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5150, 9239, 7211
52
/ 100 compatProjected
111.1 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5150, 9239, 7211
Auto
19.2 18%
Teleop
69.8 67%
Endgame
15.8 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11431, 4453, 11496
45
/ 100 compatProjected
79.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11431, 4453, 11496
Auto
7.5 10%
Teleop
43.6 60%
Endgame
21.1 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score111.1pts
Blue projected score79.8pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 31.3
- Score range
- 51–140
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
260Season APEX216.1
19.2Auto7.5
69.8Teleop43.6
15.8Endgame21.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 23 |
| teleop | 99 | 24 |
| endgame | 48 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 167 | 70 |
Result
Final score
167 – 70
Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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