FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

348.41 – 85.1

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

595 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 148.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 617.7 ±10.2

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 143.54Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 184.82Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 20.05Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±12.2

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 6.87Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1502Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 122.6Event APEX 40.95Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5248Robo-Saxons

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 37.28Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 6002, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2767, 6002, 6588

Auto

47.2 14%

Teleop

205.2 59%

Endgame

95.2 27%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9758, 1502, 5248

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 1502, 5248

Auto

10.6 12%

Teleop

61.3 68%

Endgame

18.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score348.4pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263.3
Score range: 58–375
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 731 vs event baseline 147.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

617.7Season APEX219.7

47.2Auto10.6

205.2Teleop61.3

95.2Endgame18.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	126	25
teleop	310	62
endgame	154	44
foul	5	5
total	595	136

Result

Final score

595 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 148.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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