Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
124.57 – 290.29
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
19 – 473
Prediction correct · off by 144.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 110.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 35Event APEX 42.92Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28Event APEX 42.37Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 39.28Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 556.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 139.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 38.89Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 112.38Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6556, 9672, 3234
63
/ 100 compatProjected
124.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6556, 9672, 3234
Auto
24.4 23%
Teleop
57.8 54%
Endgame
25.1 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4237, 5577, 5675
90
/ 100 compatProjected
290.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4237, 5577, 5675
Auto
57.5 20%
Teleop
152.7 53%
Endgame
79.6 27%
Strengths
- · 4237 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.6pts
Blue projected score290.3pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -165.7
- Score range
- 98–317
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
110.8Season APEX556.5
24.4Auto57.5
57.8Teleop152.7
25.1Endgame79.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 79 |
| teleop | 2 | 277 |
| endgame | 9 | 117 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 19 | 473 |
Result
Final score
19 – 473
Prediction correct · off by 144.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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