FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.16 – 46.14

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

107 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.6 ±12.8

9205Technical Marauders1

Season APEX 77Event APEX 68.95Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9703Q_Bots

Season APEX 56Event APEX 25.43Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8126Control Freaks

Season APEX 91.6Event APEX 52.78Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232 ±12.8

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -21.8Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11407Sturgis Trojans

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 30.53Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 37.41Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9205, 9703, 8126

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9205, 9703, 8126

Auto

11.8 9%

Teleop

76.4 57%

Endgame

45.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5227, 11407, 4855

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 11407, 4855

Auto

23.1 55%

Teleop

4.7 11%

Endgame

14.4 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.2pts

Blue projected score46.1pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101
Score range: 18–175
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 156.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.6Season APEX232

11.8Auto23.1

76.4Teleop4.7

45.6Endgame14.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	43
teleop	52	18
endgame	46	7
foul	0	0
total	107	68

Result

Final score

107 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.