FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.31 – 93.38

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.8 ±13.3

4568Robot Commander

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 24.68Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4453The Red Hot Chili Bots

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 18.88Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 32.75Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.2 ±12.2

9215T-Town Tech

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX -2.41Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 22.01Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10651Gear Cats

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 73.78Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4568, 4453, 5150

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4568, 4453, 5150

Auto

23.4 33%

Teleop

31.1 44%

Endgame

16.8 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9215, 11423, 10651

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9215, 11423, 10651

Auto

26.5 30%

Teleop

41.9 48%

Endgame

18.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.3pts

Blue projected score93.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.1
Score range: 47–122
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 161.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

203.8Season APEX242.2

23.4Auto26.5

31.1Teleop41.9

16.8Endgame18.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	12
teleop	37	79
endgame	6	22
foul	10	5
total	71	118

Result

Final score

71 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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