FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.44 – 177.91

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 108.2 ±13.9

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 20.4Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 18.45Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9672Colon Magi Robotics

Season APEX 28Event APEX 19.59Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.4 ±11.7

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 97.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 24.06Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5150Hybrid Hornets

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 56.21Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9758, 7865, 9672

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 7865, 9672

Auto

17.8 32%

Teleop

26.4 47%

Endgame

11.8 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5462, 6556, 5150

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 6556, 5150

Auto

36.1 20%

Teleop

91.8 52%

Endgame

49.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.4pts

Blue projected score177.9pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.5
Score range: 25–211
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 180.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

108.2Season APEX307.4

17.8Auto36.1

26.4Teleop91.8

11.8Endgame49.6

70Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	42
teleop	23	117
endgame	18	42
foul	0	0
total	50	201

Result

Final score

50 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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