Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
465.2 – 372.26
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
496 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 7.01Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 238.58Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 219.61Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 204.97Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 19.2Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 148.09Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5538, 2767, 4237
82
/ 100 compatProjected
465.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5538, 2767, 4237
Auto
95.1 21%
Teleop
256.1 56%
Endgame
108.7 24%
Strengths
- · 2767 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6002, 9776, 5675
83
/ 100 compatProjected
372.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6002, 9776, 5675
Auto
78.9 21%
Teleop
199.3 54%
Endgame
91.4 25%
Strengths
- · 6002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score465.2pts
Blue projected score372.3pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.9
- Score range
- 340–497
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
557.8Season APEX491
95.1Auto78.9
256.1Teleop199.3
108.7Endgame91.4
4Consistency11
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 65 | 55 |
| teleop | 272 | 181 |
| endgame | 144 | 80 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 496 | 316 |
Result
Final score
496 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 pts
Match videos
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