FIM District Battle Creek Event presented by BlueOval Battery Park Michigan

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

464.79 – 377.76

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

466 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±9.9

5538Vikingbots

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 6.89Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 238.51Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 219.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 206.77Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9776Gator Gears

Season APEX 69.3Event APEX 21.05Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5675WiredCats

Season APEX 154.4Event APEX 149.94Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5538, 2767, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

464.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5538, 2767, 4237

Auto

98.4 21%

Teleop

258.1 56%

Endgame

106.0 23%

Strengths

· 2767 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 9776, 5675

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 9776, 5675

Auto

82.8 22%

Teleop

203.0 54%

Endgame

88.8 24%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score464.8pts

Blue projected score377.8pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87
Score range: 346–497
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 797 vs event baseline 176.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

557.8Season APEX491

98.4Auto82.8

258.1Teleop203

106Endgame88.8

3Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	49
teleop	242	170
endgame	127	112
foul	25	0
total	466	331

Result

Final score

466 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Match videos

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