Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.62 – 134.11

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

375 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 86.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 590.1 ±8.8

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 6.72Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 161.52Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 127.38Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.1 ±9.8

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 16.12Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 94.97Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 23.02Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3597, 190, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3597, 190, 7407

Auto

76.2 26%

Teleop

134.3 46%

Endgame

81.1 28%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4041, 8046, 11131

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4041, 8046, 11131

Auto

33.1 25%

Teleop

73.4 54%

Endgame

28.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score295.6pts

Blue projected score134.1pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.5
Score range: 104–326
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 166.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

590.1Season APEX473.1

76.2Auto33.1

134.3Teleop73.4

81.1Endgame28.4

7Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	22
teleop	255	7
endgame	80	7
foul	0	5
total	375	41

Result

Final score

375 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 86.2 pts

Match videos

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