Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

445.57 – 68.22

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

440 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 811.5 ±9.9

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 215.11Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 32.16Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 198.3Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263 ±11

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 44.37Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 9.65Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8023Argonauts

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 14.2Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 1307, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

445.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5687, 1307, 6329

Auto

100.1 23%

Teleop

248.2 57%

Endgame

90.6 21%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 172, 61, 8023

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 172, 61, 8023

Auto

28.6 46%

Teleop

15.8 25%

Endgame

18.3 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score445.6pts

Blue projected score68.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 377.4
Score range: 38–476
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 589 vs event baseline 164.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

811.5Season APEX263

100.1Auto28.6

248.2Teleop15.8

90.6Endgame18.3

0Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	25
teleop	289	61
endgame	107	48
foul	0	15
total	440	149

Result

Final score

440 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.