Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 67.26

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.6 ±12.1

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 22.84Rank 18Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11336Anomaly

Season APEX 88Event APEX 14.7Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 29.72Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 9990, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9991, 9990, 9995

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4564, 11336, 4473

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4564, 11336, 4473

Auto

5.2 8%

Teleop

35.5 57%

Endgame

22.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.3
Score range: -30–97
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 47 vs event baseline 167.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX267.6

0Auto5.2

0Teleop35.5

0Endgame22.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	7
teleop	0	35
endgame	0	5
foul	0	0
total	0	47

Result

Final score

0 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts

Match videos

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