Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 72.93

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 51 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.5 ±12.2

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 28.56Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 7.9Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 36.47Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9993, 9992, 9994

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9993, 9992, 9994

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6153, 2648, 8410

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6153, 2648, 8410

Auto

19.4 27%

Teleop

40.8 56%

Endgame

12.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score72.9pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.9
Score range: -30–103
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 168.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX244.5

0Auto19.4

0Teleop40.8

0Endgame12.6

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	21
teleop	0	126
endgame	0	28
foul	0	0
total	0	175

Result

Final score

0 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 51 pts

Match videos

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