Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
330.11 – 86.51
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
149 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 133.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 590.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 17.48Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 172.58Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 140.05Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3597, 190, 7407
84
/ 100 compatProjected
330.1 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3597, 190, 7407
Auto
74.0 23%
Teleop
162.4 50%
Endgame
89.0 27%
Strengths
- · 190 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9991, 9990, 9995
50
/ 100 compatProjected
86.5 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9991, 9990, 9995
Auto
26.0 30%
Teleop
43.3 50%
Endgame
17.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score330.1pts
Blue projected score86.5pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 243.6
- Score range
- 56–361
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
590.1Season APEX0
74Auto-
162.4Teleop-
89Endgame-
16Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 78 | 0 |
| teleop | 22 | 0 |
| endgame | 49 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 149 | 0 |
Result
Final score
149 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 133.8 pts
Match videos
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