Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

418.43 – 85.98

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

534 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 100.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 811.5 ±9.9

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 205.21Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 22.87Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 190.35Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 1307, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5687, 1307, 6329

Auto

102.6 25%

Teleop

225.7 55%

Endgame

81.7 20%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9993, 9992, 9994

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9993, 9992, 9994

Auto

25.8 30%

Teleop

43.0 50%

Endgame

17.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score418.4pts

Blue projected score86pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 332.5
Score range: 55–449
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 172.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

811.5Season APEX0

102.6Auto-

225.7Teleop-

81.7Endgame-

2Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	0
teleop	323	0
endgame	118	0
foul	0	0
total	534	0

Result

Final score

534 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 100.8 pts

Match videos

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