Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
308.67 – 128.93
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
239 – 154
Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 590.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 10.94Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 165.18Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 132.55Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 14.24Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 93.24Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 21.45Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3597, 190, 7407
84
/ 100 compatProjected
308.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3597, 190, 7407
Auto
69.7 23%
Teleop
154.9 51%
Endgame
80.7 26%
Strengths
- · 190 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4041, 8046, 11131
53
/ 100 compatProjected
128.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4041, 8046, 11131
Auto
35.3 27%
Teleop
66.3 51%
Endgame
27.2 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score308.7pts
Blue projected score128.9pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 179.7
- Score range
- 98–340
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
590.1Season APEX473.1
69.7Auto35.3
154.9Teleop66.3
80.7Endgame27.2
8Consistency3
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 45 |
| teleop | 137 | 76 |
| endgame | 22 | 28 |
| foul | 20 | 5 |
| total | 239 | 154 |
Result
Final score
239 – 154
Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts
Match videos
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