Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.18 – 55.94

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.4 ±14

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 122.41Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6691Torque

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -23.74Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 18.51Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.9 ±12.2

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 12.15Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 20.59Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11336Anomaly

Season APEX 88Event APEX 23.2Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 6691, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 6691, 1307

Auto

10.8 10%

Teleop

47.3 43%

Endgame

51.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2648, 8410, 11336

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2648, 8410, 11336

Auto

11.6 23%

Teleop

38.7 75%

Endgame

1.0 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.2pts

Blue projected score55.9pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.2
Score range: 28–145
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 156.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.4Season APEX273.9

10.8Auto11.6

47.3Teleop38.7

51.4Endgame1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	11
teleop	125	32
endgame	54	11
foul	0	0
total	232	54

Result

Final score

232 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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