Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.86 – 140.19

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 135.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.3 ±10.5

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX -41.25Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 21.35Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 48.76Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.8 ±10.5

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 48.76Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 25.09Rank 18Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 66.34Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7907, 3597, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7907, 3597, 8046

Auto

17.1 52%

Teleop

25.7 78%

Endgame

-10.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 172, 4564, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 172, 4564, 6329

Auto

30.3 22%

Teleop

77.6 57%

Endgame

28.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.9pts

Blue projected score140.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.3
Score range: 3–166
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 440 vs event baseline 146.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.3Season APEX592.8

17.1Auto30.3

25.7Teleop77.6

-10Endgame28.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	48
teleop	53	168
endgame	61	79
foul	5	0
total	145	295

Result

Final score

145 – 295

Prediction correct · off by 135.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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