Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

183.13 – 394.7

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.4 ±10.5

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 128.43Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 22.32Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 32.38Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649.2 ±8.8

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 162.32Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 15.69Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 216.69Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 11131, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 11131, 1307

Auto

30.2 17%

Teleop

106.1 59%

Endgame

44.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 190, 61, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 61, 5687

Auto

118.4 31%

Teleop

191.4 50%

Endgame

73.0 19%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score183.1pts

Blue projected score394.7pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -211.6
Score range: 151–427
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 178.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.4Season APEX649.2

30.2Auto118.4

106.1Teleop191.4

44.4Endgame73

10Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	97
teleop	121	90
endgame	62	82
foul	0	20
total	221	289

Result

Final score

221 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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