Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

53.72 – 51.39

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 36.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.2 ±12.1

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 22.53Rank 18Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11336Anomaly

Season APEX 88Event APEX 13.29Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX 17.9Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±11

8023Argonauts

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 20.28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 15.69Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 15.42Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4564, 11336, 7907

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4564, 11336, 7907

Auto

6.8 14%

Teleop

25.1 51%

Endgame

17.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8023, 61, 2648

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8023, 61, 2648

Auto

19.3 41%

Teleop

15.8 34%

Endgame

11.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.7pts

Blue projected score51.4pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.3
Score range: 19–86
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 178.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.2Season APEX261.9

6.8Auto19.3

25.1Teleop15.8

17.6Endgame11.5

0Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	18
teleop	9	51
endgame	0	17
foul	0	0
total	16	86

Result

Final score

16 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 36.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.