Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.48 – 197.52

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 75 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 445.1 ±9.8

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 14.94Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 0.21Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 93.33Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502 ±10.5

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 150.82Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 15.74Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 30.96Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4041, 61, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4041, 61, 8046

Auto

43.0 42%

Teleop

39.7 39%

Endgame

20.0 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7407, 2648, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 2648, 1307

Auto

34.1 17%

Teleop

112.2 58%

Endgame

48.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.5pts

Blue projected score197.5pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89
Score range: 77–229
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 173.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

445.1Season APEX502

43Auto34.1

39.7Teleop112.2

20Endgame48.6

20Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	50
teleop	81	26
endgame	29	20
foul	0	0
total	157	96

Result

Final score

157 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 75 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.