Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
61.21 – 275.33
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
70 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 30.43Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 11.63Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 19.15Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 40.13Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 201.21Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 33.99Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8410, 8023, 4041
29
/ 100 compatProjected
61.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8410, 8023, 4041
Auto
26.1 45%
Teleop
19.4 34%
Endgame
12.3 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3597, 6329, 2648
78
/ 100 compatProjected
275.3 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3597, 6329, 2648
Auto
34.1 12%
Teleop
174.0 64%
Endgame
65.1 24%
Strengths
- · 6329 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score61.2pts
Blue projected score275.3pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -214.1
- Score range
- 30–306
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
228.4Season APEX579.9
26.1Auto34.1
19.4Teleop174
12.3Endgame65.1
6Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 6 |
| teleop | 36 | 50 |
| endgame | 15 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 70 | 99 |
Result
Final score
70 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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