Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.32 – 211.81

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 167

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442 ±10.5

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 51.86Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 153.6Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 26.86Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.9 ±10.5

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 3.03Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX 5.07Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 203.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3597, 7407, 4473

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3597, 7407, 4473

Auto

29.0 13%

Teleop

130.7 59%

Endgame

61.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 7907, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 7907, 6329

Auto

31.2 15%

Teleop

116.7 57%

Endgame

55.9 27%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score232.3pts

Blue projected score211.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.5
Score range: 181–263
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 172.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442Season APEX501.9

29Auto31.2

130.7Teleop116.7

61.7Endgame55.9

0Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	45
teleop	82	78
endgame	16	14
foul	0	30
total	142	167

Result

Final score

142 – 167

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.