Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.82 – 95.99

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

55 – 28

Prediction missed · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±12.2

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 37.57Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 7.43Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 8.82Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149 ±11.6

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX 10.28Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 18.01Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 67.7Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1307, 8410, 61

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1307, 8410, 61

Auto

14.7 27%

Teleop

28.9 53%

Endgame

11.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7907, 6153, 3597

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7907, 6153, 3597

Auto

3.0 3%

Teleop

53.2 58%

Endgame

35.2 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score53.8pts

Blue projected score96pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.2
Score range: 23–127
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 174.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.4Season APEX149

14.7Auto3

28.9Teleop53.2

11.1Endgame35.2

44Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	8
teleop	17	7
endgame	16	13
foul	0	0
total	55	28

Result

Final score

55 – 28

Prediction missed · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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