Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.45 – 431.14

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.2 ±11

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 7.26Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11336Anomaly

Season APEX 88Event APEX 31.78Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 23.41Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 914.9 ±8.7

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 83.64Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 150.38Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 197.12Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11131, 11336, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11131, 11336, 4041

Auto

18.3 34%

Teleop

19.8 36%

Endgame

16.5 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8046, 7407, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

431.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8046, 7407, 6329

Auto

87.5 21%

Teleop

239.7 57%

Endgame

93.2 22%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.5pts

Blue projected score431.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -368.7
Score range: 31–462
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 170.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

312.2Season APEX914.9

18.3Auto87.5

19.8Teleop239.7

16.5Endgame93.2

0Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	69
teleop	36	289
endgame	20	129
foul	0	0
total	72	487

Result

Final score

72 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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