Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
255.21 – 157.58
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
242 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.9 ±14
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 20.24Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 199.25Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88Event APEX 35.72Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.1 ±11.1
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 45.54Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 94.89Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 17.15Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6691, 6329, 11336
79
/ 100 compatProjected
255.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6691, 6329, 11336
Auto
41.4 16%
Teleop
147.2 59%
Endgame
63.0 25%
Strengths
- · 6329 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1307, 8046, 8023
62
/ 100 compatProjected
157.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1307, 8046, 8023
Auto
36.9 23%
Teleop
77.8 49%
Endgame
43.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score255.2pts
Blue projected score157.6pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 97.6
- Score range
- 127–286
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
516.9Season APEX409.1
41.4Auto36.9
147.2Teleop77.8
63Endgame43.5
0Consistency71
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 30 |
| teleop | 123 | 34 |
| endgame | 63 | 9 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 242 | 73 |
Result
Final score
242 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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