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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District Pine Tree Event

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.56 – 70.41

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

125 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±9.8
8046LakerBots
A
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 90.96Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11131Brainstorm
C
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 4.49Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
61BVT Robotics
C
Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 4.11Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.5 ±11
2648Infinite Loop
C
Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 34.71Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7907Spartan Robotics
D
Season APEX 24Event APEX 10.08Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
172Northern Force
C
Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 25.62Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8046, 11131, 61
46
/ 100 compat
Projected
99.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8046, 11131, 61
Auto
32.5 34%
Teleop
52.0 54%
Endgame
12.2 13%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2648, 7907, 172
31
/ 100 compat
Projected
70.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2648, 7907, 172
Auto
18.3 25%
Teleop
17.3 24%
Endgame
37.1 51%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99.6pts
Blue projected score70.4pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
29.2
Score range
39–131
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 169.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX268.5
32.5Auto18.3
52Teleop17.3
12.2Endgame37.1
82Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto428
teleop6451
endgame1936
foul05
total125100

Result

Final score

125 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 27.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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