Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

374.34 – 108.41

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

446 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 806.8 ±9.9

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 186.57Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 154.81Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 32.96Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.4 ±12.1

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 63.13Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8023Argonauts

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 28.96Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 16.32Rank 18Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6329, 5687, 4473

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6329, 5687, 4473

Auto

96.0 26%

Teleop

181.7 50%

Endgame

87.9 24%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1307, 8023, 4564

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1307, 8023, 4564

Auto

14.2 13%

Teleop

72.0 66%

Endgame

22.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score374.3pts

Blue projected score108.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 265.9
Score range: 78–404
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 491 vs event baseline 166.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

806.8Season APEX238.4

96Auto14.2

181.7Teleop72

87.9Endgame22.2

39Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	6
teleop	290	28
endgame	65	11
foul	0	0
total	446	45

Result

Final score

446 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 67.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.