Qualification · Qualification 21
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
19.92 – 222.97
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
78 – 239
Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 88Event APEX 29.16Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.1Event APEX -12.3Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 3.06Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430 ±9.4
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX -5.83Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 65.69Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 163.11Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11336, 61, 8410
6
/ 100 compatProjected
19.9 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11336, 61, 8410
Auto
11.4 87%
Teleop
0.7 5%
Endgame
1.0 8%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11131, 3597, 190
73
/ 100 compatProjected
223 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11131, 3597, 190
Auto
62.0 28%
Teleop
122.4 55%
Endgame
37.8 17%
Strengths
- · 190 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score19.9pts
Blue projected score223pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -203
- Score range
- -11–254
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
238.3Season APEX430
11.4Auto62
0.7Teleop122.4
1Endgame37.8
26Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 11 |
| teleop | 37 | 163 |
| endgame | 23 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 78 | 239 |
Result
Final score
78 – 239
Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.