Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.92222.97

7%93%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78239

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 88Event APEX 29.16Rank 19Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.1Event APEX -12.3Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 3.06Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430 ±9.4
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX -5.83Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 65.69Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 163.11Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11336, 61, 8410
6
/ 100 compat
Projected
19.9 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11336, 61, 8410
Auto
11.4 87%
Teleop
0.7 5%
Endgame
1.0 8%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11131, 3597, 190
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
223 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11131, 3597, 190
Auto
62.0 28%
Teleop
122.4 55%
Endgame
37.8 17%
Strengths
  • · 190 anchors offense
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score19.9pts
Blue projected score223pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample110alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-203
Score range
-11254
Upset likelihood
7%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 172.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.3Season APEX430
11.4Auto62
0.7Teleop122.4
1Endgame37.8
26Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1811
teleop37163
endgame2365
foul00
total78239

Result

Final score

78239

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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