Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.56 – 71.91

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.1 ±9.8

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 216.69Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 7.55Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 22.32Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.8 ±14.8

6691Torque

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 14.96Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 36.67Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8023Argonauts

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 20.28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 3597, 11131

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5687, 3597, 11131

Auto

69.4 28%

Teleop

140.0 57%

Endgame

36.5 15%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6691, 6153, 8023

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6691, 6153, 8023

Auto

22.1 32%

Teleop

31.8 45%

Endgame

16.0 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.6pts

Blue projected score71.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.7
Score range: 40–279
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 178.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494.1Season APEX149.8

69.4Auto22.1

140Teleop31.8

36.5Endgame16

10Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	10
teleop	142	7
endgame	3	0
foul	0	0
total	238	17

Result

Final score

238 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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