Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.86 – 229.69

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

185 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 89.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472 ±10.5

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 84.72Rank 7Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 31.45Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 14.69Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.1 ±10.5

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 135.46Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 54.84Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 39.39Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8046, 2648, 4473

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8046, 2648, 4473

Auto

25.2 21%

Teleop

61.0 50%

Endgame

35.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5687, 3597, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5687, 3597, 1307

Auto

72.3 31%

Teleop

106.2 46%

Endgame

51.9 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.9pts

Blue projected score229.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.8
Score range: 101–260
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 540 vs event baseline 166.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472Season APEX486.1

25.2Auto72.3

61Teleop106.2

35.2Endgame51.9

78Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	80
teleop	111	196
endgame	52	79
foul	0	0
total	185	355

Result

Final score

185 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 89.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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