Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.98 – 339.91

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 72 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.4 ±11

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 29.66Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 16.76Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 39.56Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 707.7 ±8.8

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 33.37Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 152.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 153.65Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6153, 11131, 2648

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6153, 11131, 2648

Auto

11.5 14%

Teleop

73.9 88%

Endgame

-1.5 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3597, 6329, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3597, 6329, 190

Auto

72.4 22%

Teleop

168.9 51%

Endgame

90.4 27%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86pts

Blue projected score339.9pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -253.9
Score range: 57–369
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 161.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.4Season APEX707.7

11.5Auto72.4

73.9Teleop168.9

-1.5Endgame90.4

0Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	82
teleop	43	267
endgame	18	112
foul	0	5
total	68	466

Result

Final score

68 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 72 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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