Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.92 – 72.55

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.1 ±9.5

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 150.98Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 6.7Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 156.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.2 ±11.6

8023Argonauts

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 32.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 23.98Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7907Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 24Event APEX 16.3Rank 20Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 4473, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7407, 4473, 190

Auto

56.0 19%

Teleop

137.0 48%

Endgame

94.5 33%

Strengths

· 190 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8023, 11131, 7907

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8023, 11131, 7907

Auto

32.6 39%

Teleop

38.2 45%

Endgame

13.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score313.9pts

Blue projected score72.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 241.4
Score range: 43–344
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 164.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.1Season APEX192.2

56Auto32.6

137Teleop38.2

94.5Endgame13.6

120Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	5
teleop	184	9
endgame	81	10
foul	0	5
total	341	29

Result

Final score

341 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.