Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.56 – 139.11

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 67

Prediction missed · off by 112.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.3 ±13.2

6691Torque

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX -20.84Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 121.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 10.25Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.3 ±10.4

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 21.55Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 69.67Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 47.89Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6691, 190, 2648

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6691, 190, 2648

Auto

34.2 32%

Teleop

44.0 41%

Endgame

29.1 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 172, 3597

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 172, 3597

Auto

27.4 21%

Teleop

60.0 46%

Endgame

42.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.6pts

Blue projected score139.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample110alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.6
Score range: 83–167
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 158.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.3Season APEX275.3

34.2Auto27.4

44Teleop60

29.1Endgame42.8

85Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	38
teleop	125	12
endgame	74	17
foul	5	0
total	264	67

Result

Final score

264 – 67

Prediction missed · off by 112.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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