FCH District Severn MD Event presented by Arcfield

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.03 – 195.41

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 159

Prediction missed · off by 38.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 118.6 ±13.3

6863Squirrels

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 59.71Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11318Freedom Robotics

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 41.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2849Ursa Major

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 94.57Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 187.3 ±13.9

4541CAVineers

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 59.71Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1389The Body Electric

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 111.09Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2377C Company

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 24.61Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.6
Score range: 172–219
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 129.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

118.6Season APEX187.3

29.8Auto30

110.1Teleop120.3

55.9Endgame43.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	32
teleop	93	93
endgame	46	19
foul	0	15
total	155	159

Result

Final score

155 – 159

Prediction missed · score err 38.7

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

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