FCH District Severn MD Event presented by Arcfield

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.18 – 104.56

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

83 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 17.7 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 70.5 ±13.9

11350Guilford Gearheads

Season APEX 12.8Event APEX 17.42Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

623Oakton Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX 62.49Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11211Apex Dimension

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX -0.73Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 87.2 ±13.9

9033Ocebots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 60.83Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 8.5Event APEX 47.9Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4505McDonogh Robotics

Season APEX 14.5Event APEX -4.17Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.4
Score range: 54–130
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

70.5Season APEX87.2

21.9Auto23.1

24.6Teleop65.1

32.8Endgame10.5

47Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	15
teleop	20	43
endgame	16	15
foul	20	0
total	83	73

Result

Final score

83 – 73

Prediction missed · score err 17.7

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

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