FCH District Severn MD Event presented by Arcfield

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.33 – 80.69

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 175.9 ±13.3

1418Vae Victis

Season APEX 54Event APEX 67.7Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 8.5Event APEX 13.33Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 113.4Event APEX 108.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 48.1 ±13.9

8726CryptoHawks

Season APEX 7.8Event APEX 39.89Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10449Robo Crusaders 1

Season APEX 12.7Event APEX 27.47Rank 35Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3714CHF S.O.A.R.

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 13.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.6
Score range: 55–215
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 144.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.9Season APEX48.1

27.7Auto19.9

117.7Teleop40.6

45.7Endgame20.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	16
teleop	118	1
endgame	47	5
foul	0	0
total	195	22

Result

Final score

195 – 22

Prediction correct · score err 32.2

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

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