Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
332.9 – 63.57
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
339 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 12.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 546.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 232.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 21.02Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 79.28Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 19.09Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 26.86Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.1Event APEX 17.62Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9072, 8590, 1629
80
/ 100 compatProjected
332.9 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9072, 8590, 1629
Auto
68.8 21%
Teleop
195.8 60%
Endgame
62.1 19%
Strengths
- · 9072 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4821, 3748, 7886
44
/ 100 compatProjected
63.6 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4821, 3748, 7886
Auto
11.3 19%
Teleop
33.0 54%
Endgame
16.3 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score332.9pts
Blue projected score63.6pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 269.3
- Score range
- 43–354
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
546.4Season APEX180.9
68.8Auto11.3
195.8Teleop33
62.1Endgame16.3
2Consistency16
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 80 | 24 |
| teleop | 212 | 39 |
| endgame | 47 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 339 | 82 |
Result
Final score
339 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 12.3 pts
Match videos
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